Generally, investors
buy gold or silver for one of three purposes: as an
investment, as an inflation hedge, or
for survival purposes. Investors who buy for
investment purposes tend to view gold and silver as
commodities, whose prices fluctuate because of supply/demand
fundamentals. For example, in 1998 Warren Buffett completed
the purchase of 129.7 million ounces of silver. Buffett’s
purchase, which became legendary in only a few years, was
probably for investment purposes. However, it may have been
an inflation hedge; Buffett’s not saying. In fact, Buffett
has said very little about his silver investment. One thing
is certain, however, it was not for survival purposes.
Investors who fear inflation, either price inflation or
monetary inflation (which causes price inflation), buy gold
or silver as inflation hedges. During the
1970s, precious metals prices skyrocketed in response to
price inflation that reached 13%. During the 70s, popular
precious metals investments included everything from 1-oz
silver rounds and pre-1965 U.S. 90% silver coins to 100-oz
silver bars and 1-oz Krugerrands. When the Federal Reserve
got inflation under control in the 1980s, much of the gold
and silver bought in the 1970s was sold and the proceeds put
back in paper investments.
Investors who buy for survival purposes fear
the worst. Those fears include the Federal Reserve printing
so many dollars that the dollar will become worthless, which
is the history of all paper currencies not redeemable in
gold or silver. Fear of a financial meltdown, which would
close banks as in Argentina and Paraguay in 2002, is
another.Argentineans
and Paraguayans who had to foresight to bailout of the
banking systems and covert their assets to gold or silver
were protected. Not only did banks close, but also when
they reopened depositors were limited to the amount of money
they could withdraw. Meanwhile, the Argentinean peso
and the Paraguayan guarani sank in value.
Shortly after those crises, Brazil defaulted on its
international debt and its real sank.
Those are the kinds of situations that investors who buy for
survival purposes want to protect against. In
doing so, these investors buy gold and silver in forms that
can be used for money or to barter for goods and services.
The best forms of silver for survival purposes
are
pre-1965 U.S. 90% coins and
1-oz silver rounds.
The most useful forms of gold would be
1/10-oz Gold
Eagles and
¼-oz Gold Eagles. But, before going
forward, it is imperative that we discuss which coins to
avoid. That is because hundreds of web pages
promote numismatic and collector coins, as well as foreign
coins. Such coins are simply wrong for survival
purposes.
If the time ever comes that gold and silver coins were again
used as money, coins would be worth only their metal
content. Numismatic (collector) premiums would disappear.
Anyone using gold or silver coins to buy goods or services
would not be asked, "What's the mint mark on your coin?" Nor
will they be asked, "When was it minted?" The question would
be, "What's the gold content?" Hand someone a St. Gaudens
and tell him it contains .9675 ounce of gold, and it will be
difficult--if not impossible--to convince him to accept it
at more than .9675 times the price of gold.
Numismatic premiums are
fleeting in normal markets. (See our
Old U.S. Gold Coins
page; you may also want to read our
Myths,
Misunderstandings, and Outright Lies page.) Numismatic
coins are bad investments for the average investor anytime;
for survival purposes, they are simply wrong.
If you ever need to use your
gold and silver to buy goods and services, you will want
silver coins and small gold coins. Additionally, those coins
should have certain characteristics to ensure they are
readily accepted. First, survival coins should be stamped
in English. Most Americans do not read foreign languages.
Second, the coins should have
their gold or silver contents stamped on them; except for
the bullion coins, most do not. In an emergency, having the
gold content stamped on a coin could go a long way toward
causing someone to accept it.
If your furnace goes out in
January, the local heating guy may have never seen a gold
coin before. If you hand him a $20 St. Gaudens, how does he
know it contains a little less than an ounce? If you try to
get him to take British Sovereigns, how can you prove they
contain .2354 ounce each? Try convincing the guy at the auto
parts store that a French 20 franc contains .1867 ounce of
gold.
Third, the coins you buy for
survival purposes should contain amounts with
which Americans are comfortable. We understand one-ounce,
1/2-ounce, 1/4-ounce, and 1/10-ounce coins. Americans do not
easily grasp the concept of .2354 ounce or .1867 ounce.
For survival purposes,
avoid arcane foreign coins. (Although more British
Sovereigns have been minted than any other coin, Sovereigns
are not well known in the U.S.) Simply buy the popular
modern bullion coins, the best of which are the American
Eagles. They come in four sizes: one-ounce, 1/2-ounce,
1/4-ounce, and 1/10-ounce. For more information, visit
Modern Gold Bullion Coins. (If you have been told that
bullion coins are subject to confiscation and that old U.S.
coins and/or foreign coins dated before 1933 are exempt, you
really need to read
Myths, Misunderstandings, and
Outright Lies.)
Another plus for
Gold
Eagles: They sell at small mark-ups over the value of
their gold content. Generally, Gold Eagles carry lower
premiums than foreign coins of comparable sizes. And
certainly, Gold Eagles are cheaper than old U.S. gold coins.
Finally, the question arises
whether to buy gold or silver. Probably both, but if you are
investing $5,000 or less, go exclusively with
one-ounce
silver rounds or circulated
pre-1965 U.S. 90% coins. If you are investing larger amounts, say $20,000
up, you will probably end up with gold and silver.
If conditions were to
deteriorate to the point that gold and silver re-emerged as
the preferred forms of money, you would want lots of small
coins. If you were buying canned food, you would need
silver coins because gold coins, even 1/10-ounce ones, would
have great value. If you have only silver coins and need
something of high value, then you simply trade a larger
number of silver coins.
At current prices, an
investment in silver results in more than fifty times the
bulk and weight than if the same investment were made in
gold. Therefore, large investments in silver create storage
and handling challenges for some people. If storage and
handling is a problem for you, then go exclusively with
1/10-oz Gold Eagles for the first $5,000 or so. Still, try
to have some silver coins on hand.
Although we prefer
American Gold
Eagles for survival purposes,
Gold Maple Leafs,
Krugerrands, and
Kangaroos would serve nearly as well. We recognize that
Maple Leafs, Krugerrands, and Kangaroos are foreign coins
and that above we advise against foreign coins. However,
Maple Leafs, Krugerrands, and Kangaroos are bullion coins
that have the desired traits for survival purposes.
They are stamped in English, come in convenient, well-known
sizes, and sell at small premiums over the value of their
gold content.
The choice of the form of
silver for survival purposes is a toss-up
between
one-ounce
silver rounds and
circulated pre-1965 U.S. 90% coins. Rounds have their
silver content and purity stamped on them. However,
circulated pre-65 U.S. 90% silver coins once served as money
and could do so again. Additionally, these coins circulated
as recently as the late 1960s, and many Americans remember
using them. Yet, pre-65 silver coins do not have their
silver content stamped on them, but if the dollar were
repudiated people would quickly learn the value of pre-1965
U.S. 90% silver coins.
If you are considering
precious metals for survival purposes and
would like to discuss the matter, call us at 800-528-1380.
Our normal hours are 7:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. MST, Mondays
through Friday. However, we often take calls before 7:00
a.m. and more often after 5:00 p.m. Sometimes we can be
found in the office on Saturdays.